ДИВІДЕНДНА ПОЛІТИКА ДЛЯ ПІДВИЩЕННЯ ВАРТОСТІ ФІРМИ, ПОМІРНОЇ ЗМІНИ ФІНАНСОВОЇ СТІЙКОСТІ

Main Article Content

Муїс Муртадо
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3168-1737
Трі Ратнаваті
Ульфі Прістіана

Анотація

Багато галузей в Індонезії не діляться прибутком у формі дивідендів з інвесторами, що впливає на вартість компанії. Ця умова справді визначає позицію Інвестора при ухваленні рішення про інвестування в майбутнє як реакцію на дивідендну політику компанії. Дослідження спрямоване на аналіз дивідендної політики щодо поведінки інвесторів та її впливу на вартість фірми з фінансовою стійкістю як помірною змінною. У цьому дослідженні використано як об’єкти 360 компаній, зареєстрованих на IDX із 2018 по 2022 рік. Для тестування моделі застосовано Smart PLS. Це дослідження показує, що дивідендна політика впливає на вартість фірми, проте не впливає на поведінку інвесторів. Однак фінансова стійкість негативно впливає на дивідендну політику й вартість фірми. Крім того, фінансова стійкість не може пом'якшити співвідношення між дивідендною політикою й вартістю фірми. І навпаки: економічна стійкість може пом'якшувати поведінку інвесторів і впливати на вартість фірми. У статті наголошено, що менеджери, які розробляють дивідендну політику, повинні звертати увагу на поведінку інвесторів, оскільки це може бути позитивним сигналом для майбутньої вартості компанії.

Article Details

Посилання

Aguiar-Díaz, I., Díaz-Díaz, N. L., & Ruiz-Mallorquí, M. V. (2024). Multiple directorships and dividends in Spanish listed firms. Borsa Istanbul Review, November 2023. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2024.04.002 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2024.04.002

Al-filali, I. Y., Abdulaal, R. M. S., Alawi, S. M., & Makki, A. A. (2023). Modification of strategic planning tools for planning financial sustainability in higher education institutions. Journal of Engineering Research, November. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jer.2023.11.015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jer.2023.11.015

Al, M., & Hutahayan, B. (2024). The impact of purchasing and inventory performance on sustainable financial performance with fiscal term as a moderating factor (A case study from oil and gas industry in Indonesia). Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market, and Complexity, 10(1), 100225. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joitmc.2024.100225 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joitmc.2024.100225

Aljifri, R. (2023). Investor psychology in the stock market : An empirical study of the impact of overcon fi dence on fi rm valuation. Borsa Istanbul Review, 23(1), 93–112. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2022.09.010 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2022.09.010

Altaf, H., & Jan, A. (2023). Generational theory of behavioral biases in investment behavior. Borsa Istanbul Review, 23(4), 834–844. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2023.02.002 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2023.02.002

Ararat, M., Black, B. S., & Yurtoglu, B. B. (2017). The effect of corporate governance on firm value and profitability: Time-series evidence from Turkey. Emerging Markets Review, 30(September 2015), 113–132. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2016.10.001 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2016.10.001

Borsboom, C., Janssen, D. J., Strucks, M., & Zeisberger, S. (2022). History matters: How short-term price charts hurt investment performance. Journal of Banking and Finance, 134, 106351. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2021.106351 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2021.106351

Brawn, D. A., & Šević, A. (2018). Firm size matters: Industry sector, firm age and volatility do too in determining which publicly-listed US firms pay a dividend. International Review of Financial Analysis, 58(May), 132–152. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2018.05.002 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2018.05.002

Chen, R., Lepori, G. M., Tai, C., & Sung, M. (2022). Can salience theory explain investor behaviour ? Real-world evidence from the cryptocurrency market. International Review of Financial Analysis, 84(October), 102419. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102419 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102419

Chronopoulos, D. K., Erman, E., Johari, C., Scholtens, B., Sobiech, A. L., Wilson, J. O. S., & Yilmaz, M. H. (2023). Competition and bank dividends. Journal of International Money and Finance, 137, 102898. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2023.102898 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2023.102898

Dang, K., Ngoc, T., Nguyen, D. Van, Thanh, H., & Le, P. (2022). How innovation and ownership concentration affect the fi nancial sustainability of energy enterprises : evidence from a transition economy. Heliyon, 8(March), e10474. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e10474 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e10474

Deng, J., Chen, P., Chen, X., Li, T., & Yuan, Q. (2023). Financial sustainability versus social equity: Design and performance of a hybrid city bus system. Journal of Public Transportation, 25(January), 100044. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubtr.2023.100044 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubtr.2023.100044

Dharmayanti, N., Ismail, T., Hanifah, I. A., & Taqi, M. (2023). Exploring sustainability management control system and eco-innovation matter sustainable financial performance: The role of supply chain management and digital adaptability in indonesian context. Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market, and Complexity, 9(3), 100119. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joitmc.2023.100119 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joitmc.2023.100119

Dyussembina, S., & Park, K. (2024). Book-tax differences, dividend payout, and firm value. International Review of Financial Analysis, 91(October 2022), 103037. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2023.103037 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2023.103037

Floyd, E., Li, N., & Skinner, D. J. (2015). Payout policy through the financial crisis: The growth of repurchases and the resilience of dividends. Journal of Financial Economics, 118(2), 299–316. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2015.08.002 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2015.08.002

French, J. J., & Naka, A. (2013). Dynamic relationships among equity flows, equity returns and dividends: Behavior of U.S. investors in China and India. Global Finance Journal, 24(1), 13–29. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfj.2013.03.005 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfj.2013.03.005

Frintrup, M., & Hilgers, D. (2024). Drivers and risk factors of German local financial sustainability focusing on adjusted income. International Review of Administrative Sciences, 90(1), 29–47. https://doi.org/10.1177/00208523221143289 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/00208523221143289

Hair, J. F., Hult, G. T., Ringle, C., & Sarstedt, M. (2017). A Primer on Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM). Sage. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/236032728_A_Primer_on_Partial_Least_Squares_Structural_Equation_Modeling

Han, D., Han, L., Wu, Y., & Liu, P. (2021). Dividend or growth funds: What drives individual investors’ choices? International Review of Financial Analysis, 77(July), 101863. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2021.101863 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2021.101863

Kent Baker, H., & Kilincarslan, E. (2019). Why companies do not pay cash dividends: The Turkish experience. Global Finance Journal, 42(February 2018). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfj.2018.02.005 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfj.2018.02.005

Ketchen, D. J. (2013). A Primer on Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling. Long Range Planning, 46(1–2). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lrp.2013.01.002 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lrp.2013.01.002

Khan, M. N., & Shamim, M. (2017). A sectoral analysis of dividend payment behavior: Evidence from Karachi Stock Exchange. SAGE Open, 7(1). https://doi.org/10.1177/2158244016682291 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/2158244016682291

Li, M., & Roberts, H. (2023). Zero leverage and dividend policy. Finance Research Letters, 58(PB), 104430. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2023.104430 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2023.104430

Liu, Y., & Lee, P. (2022). Market responses to cash dividends distributed from capital reserves. Finance Research Letters, 46(PB), 102389. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2021.102389

Liu, Y. Y., & Lee, P. S. (2022). Market responses to cash dividends distributed from capital reserves. Finance Research Letters, 46(PB), 102389. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2021.102389 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2021.102389

Martono, S., Yulianto, A., Witiastuti, R. S., & Wijaya, A. P. (2020). The role of institutional ownership and industry characteristics on the propensity to pay dividend: An insight from company open innovation. Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market, and Complexity, 6(3), 74. https://doi.org/10.3390/JOITMC6030074 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/joitmc6030074

Meyer, S., & Uhr, C. (2024). Ambiguity and private investors ’ behavior after forced fund liquidations. Journal of Financial Economics, 156(July 2023), 103849. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2024.103849 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2024.103849

Mousa, M., Nosratabadi, S., Sagi, J., & Mosavi, A. (2021). The effect of marketing investment on firm value and systematic risk. Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market, and Complexity, 7(1), 1–17. https://doi.org/10.3390/joitmc7010064 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/joitmc7010064

Muhammad, R. (2022). The impact of investor sentiment on returns, cash flows, discount rates, and performance. Borsa Istanbul Review, 22(2), 352–362. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2021.06.005 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2021.06.005

Mullen, H., Turkson, C., & Acquaye, A. (2024). An examination of motivation factors driving investor behaviours towards socially responsible community energy initiatives. Heliyon, 10(5), e27490. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e27490 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e27490

Neldi, M., Hady, H., Elfiswandi, & Lusiana. (2023). the Determinants of Price Earning Ratio: Evidence From Indonesia. Journal of Law and Sustainable Development, 11(4), 1–21. https://doi.org/10.55908/SDGS.V11I4.1003 DOI: https://doi.org/10.55908/sdgs.v11i4.1003

Neugebauer, T., Shachat, J., & Szymczak, W. (2023). A test of the Modigliani-Miller theorem, dividend policy and algorithmic arbitrage in experimental asset markets. Journal of Banking and Finance, 154. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2023.106814 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2023.106814

Neupane, S., Fan, Z., Yanes, D., & Neupane, B. (2024). Diverse investor reactions to the COVID-19 Pandemic : Insights from an emerging market. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money, 93(September 2023), 102000. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102000 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102000

Nguyen, H. H., Ngo, V. M., Le, T. T. P., & Nguyen, P. Van. (2023). Do investors’ personalities predict market winners? Experimental setting and machine learning analysis. Heliyon, 9(4), e15273. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e15273 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e15273

Oduro, R. (2024). Impact of recapitalisation and dividend payout policies on financial sustainability of rural and community banks in Ghana. Future Business Journal, 10(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s43093-023-00292-3 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s43093-023-00292-3

Pinto, G., & Rastogi, S. (2019). Sectoral Analysis of Factors Influencing Dividend Policy: Case of an Emerging Financial Market. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 12(3). https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm12030110 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm12030110

Quang, L. T. (2024). Is the market biased in M&A, dividend payment, and share repurchase events? Heliyon, 10(8), e29400. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e29400 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e29400

Ross, S.A., Westerfield, R.W., & Jordan, B.D. (2010). Fundamentals of Corporate Finance. New York: Tata McGraw Hill Education.

Seth, R., & Mahenthiran, S. (2022). Impact of dividend payouts and corporate social responsibility on firm value – Evidence from India. Journal of Business Research, 146(April), 571–581. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2022.03.053 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2022.03.053

Sheng, X., & An, Y. (2024). The nonlinear impact of financial flexibility on corporate sustainability: Empirical evidence from the Chinese manufacturing industry. Heliyon, 10(6), e27825. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e27825 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e27825

Singhania, M., Bhan, I., & Chadha, G. (2024). Sustainable investments: a scientometric review and research agenda. Managerial Finance, 50(1), 266–294. https://doi.org/10.1108/MF-04-2023-0238 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/MF-04-2023-0238

Stereńczak, S., & Kubiak, J. (2022). Dividend policy and stock liquidity: Lessons from Central and Eastern Europe. Research in International Business and Finance, 62. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2022.101727 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2022.101727

Tao, J., Shan, P., Liang, J., & Zhang, L. (2024). Influence Mechanism between Corporate Social Responsibility and Financial Sustainability: Empirical Evidence from China. Sustainability (Switzerland), 16(6), 1–23. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16062406 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su16062406

Tarjo, T., Anggono, A., Yuliana, R., Prasetyono, P., Syarif, M., Wildan, M. A., & Syam, M. (2022). Corporate social responsibility, financial fraud, and firm's value in Indonesia and Malaysia. Heliyon, 8(12), e11907. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e11907 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e11907

Theiri, S., Ben Hamad, S., & Ben Amor, M. (2023). Dividend policy and crisis: Exploring the interplay between performance and financial constraints in the French context. Heliyon, 9(10), e20586. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e20586 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e20586

Zabolotnyy, S., & Wasilewski, M. (2019). The concept of financial sustainability measurement: A case of food companies from Northern Europe. Sustainability (Switzerland), 11(18). https://doi.org/10.3390/su11185139 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su11185139